ArrowStream Foodservice Blog

Overcoming U.S. Food Supply Chain Disruptions amidst COVID-19

Posted by Aoibhin Stokes on Aug 5, 2020 9:00:00 AM

Uncovering the effects of COVID-19 in the food supply chain sector

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Topics: Market Intelligence, COVID-19, Supply Chain Disruption

Cheese Prices Still Inflated

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jul 27, 2020 1:24:08 PM

ArrowStream economists note that although there’s been some modest price softness for cheese blocks recently, this market, along with the cheese barrel market, remains historically inflated. 

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Topics: Market Intelligence

Restaurant Sales Improve as Grocery Stores Decline

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jul 20, 2020 5:53:39 PM

ArrowStream economists reported that restaurant sale trends appear to be improving, but while the industry may be recovering, it still falls behind other business segments. 

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Topics: Market Intelligence

USDA Boosts Protein Supply Forecasts

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jul 14, 2020 11:01:30 AM

Last Friday, the USDA released a plethora of data important to the restaurant industry. While ArrowStream economists weren't surprised on grains expectations, they did comment on the increase of protein supply expectations. 

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Topics: Market Intelligence

Restaurant Recovery Faces Additional Obstacles

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jul 7, 2020 10:14:58 AM

Analysis of ArrowStream’s network of more than 200 chain restaurant brands by our economists revealed June data which signaled that the overall restaurant industry continues to slowly improve, but remains below year-ago levels. However, with states confirming recent increases in COVID-19 cases, action is being taken again to curb the spread which may further slow the improvement we have seen. 

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Topics: Market Intelligence

States Limit Hospitality Industry Operations as COVID Cases Rise

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jun 29, 2020 4:06:21 PM

In mid-June, ArrowStream's economists published initial data noting a rise in COVID-19 cases among three of the four largest restaurant states. And as the trend continues, they called out in the most recent issue of ArrowStream's Maloni Report that they're closely watching the mortality rate which, if it rises following the increase in hospitalizations, could mean those states may revisit more permanent social restrictions.

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Topics: Market Intelligence

Restaurants Recovering Slower Than Other Retail Segments

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jun 22, 2020 10:39:04 AM

As the economy continues to adjust to the global pandemic, it's become clear that certain segments are improving faster than others. While foodservice and drinking establishment sales saw a 29 percent increase in May from April, unfortunately, we continue to see the restaurant industry making minimal gains and falling behind in overall recovery. At a 39 percent decline in sales from this time last year, ArrowStream economists analyzed U.S. retail sales and note where restaurants currently sit.

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Topics: Market Intelligence

COVID-19 Cases Rising in Three of the Largest Restaurant States

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jun 15, 2020 3:33:21 PM

Confirmed COVID-19 cases are on the rise in several U.S. states, including three of the four largest restaurant states. California, Florida, New York and Texas typically account for 37 percent of annual U.S. restaurant sales and over the last week, ArrowStream economists have closely tracked an increase in positive test results in California, Florida and Texas. 

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Topics: Market Intelligence

Protein Supply Improves

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jun 8, 2020 4:29:18 PM

ArrowStream economists have been closely watching protein production and are beginning to see signals of improvement. But while this is encouraging news, they also warn further plant disruptions could continue as the COVID-19 landscape evolves. 

"Last week pork output was 4.2 percent better than 2019 while beef production was down only .4 percent. As the chart shows, total beef, pork and chicken output was likely better than the previous year (we say likely as these are USDA estimates). Cattle and hog slaughter are expected to improve during the next few weeks. The best-case scenario may be that these plants reach 95 percent capacity due to operation adjustments for employee safety. And we'd offer, we're getting close to those levels. Thus, weekly gains in protein output could be tempered this summer. Also important to note that many plants continue to struggle with COVID-19 which could cause further plant disruptions."

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Topics: Market Intelligence

Restaurant Dine-In Sees Cautious Consumers

Posted by Kate Hubbard on Jun 1, 2020 3:01:58 PM

ArrowStream data continues to signal that the return of the consumer to restaurant dine-in has been careful and that independent restaurants are being hurt more from the lockdowns than restaurant chains. According to RestaurantData.com, less than 10 percent of chain restaurant stores in the U.S. are directed to full-service dining while that share is almost two-thirds for independents.

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Topics: Market Intelligence

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